Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.000589 0.000676 0.000769 0.000875 0.000993 0.001118 0.001262
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.000439 0.000557 0.000692 0.000856 0.001050 0.001270 0.001537
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.000368 0.000499 0.000657 0.000859 0.001106 0.001396 0.001760
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.000318 0.000459 0.000635 0.000869 0.001165 0.001524 0.001986
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.000266 0.000407 0.000592 0.000845 0.001176 0.001589 0.002133
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.000224 0.000362 0.000551 0.000818 0.001179 0.001640 0.002260
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.000196 0.000335 0.000530 0.000816 0.001211 0.001726 0.002433
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.000174 0.000312 0.000513 0.000816 0.001244 0.001812 0.002606
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.000152 0.000287 0.000491 0.000806 0.001261 0.001878 0.002752
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.000132 0.000262 0.000466 0.000790 0.001269 0.001928 0.002877
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.000122 0.000254 0.000465 0.000808 0.001325 0.002046 0.003097
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000113 0.000244 0.000462 0.000822 0.001374 0.002155 0.003306
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000098 0.000224 0.000440 0.000807 0.001380 0.002204 0.003436
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000085 0.000204 0.000416 0.000787 0.001377 0.002241 0.003548
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000076 0.000193 0.000407 0.000789 0.001409 0.002327 0.003732
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000070 0.000186 0.000403 0.000799 0.001451 0.002429 0.003940
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000060 0.000169 0.000381 0.000776 0.001442 0.002454 0.004036
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000051 0.000152 0.000358 0.000752 0.001426 0.002468 0.004117
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000046 0.000144 0.000348 0.000749 0.001448 0.002539 0.004281
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000041 0.000136 0.000340 0.000749 0.001471 0.002612 0.004451
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000036 0.000127 0.000328 0.000740 0.001479 0.002662 0.004585
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.000031 0.000117 0.000313 0.000725 0.001477 0.002694 0.004694
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.000029 0.000114 0.000315 0.000742 0.001530 0.002817 0.004943